TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$416,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c111,242$80,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,151.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over30c41,502$12,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,096.442,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over31c32,306$9,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,435.252,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under1c25,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Over23c21,837$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,837.333520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under77c17,304$13,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,273.613,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over30c14,590$4,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,259.1320724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under1c11,930$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.572,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.9212810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over31c8,489$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,874.2516747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Over30c8,225$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,725.423554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over31c7,824$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,419.2975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under72c7,516$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,440.233,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under69c7,000$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.9631851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over31c6,982$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,850.392,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over21c5,669$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.614,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over27c5,331$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,895.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under11c5,242$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.161,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Over30c4,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1505356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Under69c4,500$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.9610653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under1c4,354$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c4,083$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.922,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over15c3,581$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.274131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c3,467$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.462,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over17c3,142$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.682360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+51.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under75c3,128$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3389752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over21c2,925$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.241,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a4…9779backed Under60c2,723$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6401450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under69c2,500$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.083,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd58…f7b5backed Under14c2,460$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.94650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+247.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under70c2,368$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.272,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under69c2,311$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.831,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under70c2,300$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.931,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c1,977$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.943,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c1,881$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.082,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over31c1,613$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.915441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under70c1,603$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.152,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c1,592$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.458,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over30c1,285$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.5772722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under70c1,278$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.6617748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over31c1,200$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82819062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over14c1,193$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.81,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under80c1,191$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.8426841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over17c1,161$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.614134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over30c1,134$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.4110546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a5f…6c92backed Under69c1,080$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.193732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over30c1,068$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under50c1,055$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.4245145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over27c1,023$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.3825643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over30c1,014$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.351,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69061752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Over45c929.38$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.837755.8%43 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4a8…5604backed Over10c900$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8104637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over17c872.27$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.361,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under69c816.01$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.051,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb981…27dbbacked Over31c780.06$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.242343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8c…3234backed Over13c700$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+54.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Over9c699.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.997748.1%37 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0d4…e175backed Over30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.679053.3%48 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5517…760ebacked Over23c664.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.733429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.168530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over13c623.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.8569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over9c619.77$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9911035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e5…c90cbacked Over31c605.65$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.9933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+123%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…dc95backed Over17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+169.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Under69c554.99$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under70c499.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9333…3067backed Over24c415.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.583154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Over23c400$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3104839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over30c390$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27397742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under70c387.97$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.581,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa22d…3f00backed Over31c380.65$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.656136.1%22 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over25c356$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.9487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under29c352.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.952,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over23c349.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6165036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over26c348$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.22,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e2…d5b2backed Over31c333.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.376338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3318236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3310918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over20c325.12$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.851,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9968…4f0bbacked Over30c323.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.22944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf47c…880abacked Over31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under70c317.56$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.291,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaecf…a030backed Over28c300$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over23c299.21$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under69c299$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.111,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Under28c285$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.83050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over30c266.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6198439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over34c263.45$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9817747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over22c227.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.052,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51e…0280backed Over17c224.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.246540%26 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Over20c223.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7411834.7%41 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under72c213.5$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.021,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea1b…ec19backed Under70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Over31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1386341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.