Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e803589e3aac8b331a3c930a96ae0f1dffffa43e47776f4d48dd8fa2ef46206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,332,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,403,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,332,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x669d…c044backed Over | 21c | 400,000$82,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,999.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed Over | 15c | 120,029$18,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,186.77 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 113,952$21,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,895.79 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 21c | 112,521$24,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,146.44 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 21c | 72,023$15,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,051.77 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…4998backed Over | 11c | 50,886$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,731.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Under | 79c | 47,907$37,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,290.87 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 5c | 39,846$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.99 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 79c | 27,494$21,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,705.1 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Over | 21c | 24,000$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Over | 22c | 23,331$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.48 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 22,148$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.66 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 22c | 21,766$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.68 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Under | 79c | 20,450$16,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.25 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 18c | 20,361$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.04 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 13c | 20,244$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.38 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 24c | 19,506$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.82 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 16c | 18,962$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 14c | 18,317$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.14 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…0857backed Over | 2c | 18,149$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.12 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Over | 8c | 15,274$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.23 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 21c | 14,833$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.41 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Under | 79c | 14,400$11,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Under | 74c | 12,662$9,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.71 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28f5backed Over | 20c | 10,000$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.7 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Over | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…2289backed Under | 80c | 9,869$7,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.11 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 5c | 8,850$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.17 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 15c | 8,340$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.32 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…5b34backed Over | 12c | 8,145$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 79c | 8,000$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…a870backed Over | 0c | 7,834$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11c…db67backed Over | 21c | 7,729$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.13 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Over | 25c | 7,532$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 79c | 7,116$5,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.64 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Under | 74c | 6,510$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.36 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Under | 74c | 6,359$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.96 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 1c | 6,085$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Under | 80c | 6,060$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.3 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under | 80c | 5,929$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 76c | 5,484$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.43 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 23c | 5,195$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.04 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 1c | 5,050$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 76c | 5,049$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.93 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 21c | 5,000$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.5 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 25c | 4,956$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 5c | 4,870$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.61 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…abbabacked Over | 21c | 4,651$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 15c | 4,647$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.43 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 6c | 4,615$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.58 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 78c | 4,329$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.15 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…6ea0backed Over | 21c | 4,143$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.65 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 22c | 4,061$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.03 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…1b74backed Over | 22c | 4,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 80c | 3,920$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.59 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 79c | 3,870$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.9 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e33…b360backed Over | 0c | 3,870$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Over | 21c | 3,791$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.5 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 21c | 3,750$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.82 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f4…8c06backed Over | 9c | 3,631$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 4c | 3,450$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Over | 21c | 3,150$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.75 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 21c | 3,145$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.37 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c37…0631backed Under | 79c | 3,145$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed Under | 78c | 3,126$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Over | 21c | 3,100$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.75 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Over | 16c | 3,095$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.79 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 78c | 3,072$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.04 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 80c | 3,042$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.66 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Over | 5c | 3,033$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Over | 22c | 2,688$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7997…5e4bbacked Under | 74c | 2,600$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.5 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…a537backed Over | 20c | 2,532$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0aa…ee4cbacked Under | 80c | 2,516$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.72 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Over | 21c | 2,500$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.25 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 23c | 2,411$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 21c | 2,353$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Over | 21c | 2,326$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 5c | 2,313$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…2853backed Over | 21c | 2,309$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.08 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…2393backed Under | 75c | 2,280$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…7f3cbacked Under | 79c | 2,269$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.58 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over | 5c | 2,205$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 20c | 2,195$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…9c89backed Over | 21c | 2,093$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 4c | 2,083$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 13c | 2,038$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.88 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Over | 21c | 2,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Under | 79c | 2,000$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 2c | 2,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 65 | 15.4%10 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd003…8341backed Over | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 21c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 21c | 2,000$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.31 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Over | 5c | 1,982$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…b06cbacked Under | 76c | 1,971$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 7c | 1,960$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 20c | 1,956$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…78a5backed Over | 20c | 1,951$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…7c86backed Under | 74c | 1,939$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.94 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Over | 21c | 1,811$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.83 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5this page
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.