TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,332,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,403,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,332,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x669d…c044backed Over21c400,000$82,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,999.91911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-69.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed Over15c120,029$18,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,186.7711942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c113,952$21,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,895.793,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over21c112,521$24,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,146.441,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over21c72,023$15,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,051.7712254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Over11c50,886$5,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,731.331060%6 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+97.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Under79c47,907$37,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,290.877447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over5c39,846$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.991,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under79c27,494$21,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,705.11,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Over21c24,000$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9808135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over22c23,331$5,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,074.4817840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c22,148$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.664,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over22c21,766$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.684932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under79c20,450$16,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,292.2514250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over18c20,361$3,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,592.0444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over13c20,244$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.3838329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over24c19,506$4,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,687.8264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over16c18,962$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,103.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over14c18,317$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.1439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over2c18,149$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.12626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Over8c15,274$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.2321738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over21c14,833$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.4175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Under79c14,400$11,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,023.982650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under74c12,662$9,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,323.7117550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Over20c10,000$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.74531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10020724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4773…2289backed Under80c9,869$7,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.111376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over5c8,850$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.1717747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over15c8,340$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.3269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe174…5b34backed Over12c8,145$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+101.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under79c8,000$6,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72021140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5978…a870backed Over0c7,834$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.29240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over21c7,729$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.132138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Over25c7,532$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under79c7,116$5,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.641,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Under74c6,510$4,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.3637944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Under74c6,359$4,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.9646230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over1c6,085$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under80c6,060$4,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.313259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under80c5,929$4,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.441136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Under76c5,484$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.4323558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over23c5,195$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.0434731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over1c5,050$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.58032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under76c5,049$3,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.9365737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over21c5,000$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over25c4,956$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over5c4,870$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc547…abbabacked Over21c4,651$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over15c4,647$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.433,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over6c4,615$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.582360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+51.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under78c4,329$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.159150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over21c4,143$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.658723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over22c4,061$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.031,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over22c4,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8608858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under80c3,920$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.5925857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under79c3,870$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.951032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e33…b360backed Over0c3,870$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over21c3,791$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.519529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over21c3,750$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.821,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f4…8c06backed Over9c3,631$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.57742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c3,450$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over21c3,150$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.7560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over21c3,145$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.3732922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Under79c3,145$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.652147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9f36backed Under78c3,126$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.64977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Over21c3,100$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.756214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Over16c3,095$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.792524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under78c3,072$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.041,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under80c3,042$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.662,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc4…db58backed Over5c3,033$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+55%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Over22c2,688$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Under74c2,600$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.522452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over20c2,532$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0aa…ee4cbacked Under80c2,516$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.726150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Over21c2,500$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.2512227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over23c2,411$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over21c2,353$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d3d…6039backed Over21c2,326$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over5c2,313$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8977433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x982a…2853backed Over21c2,309$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.082015%3 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadd2…2393backed Under75c2,280$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.772152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54c…7f3cbacked Under79c2,269$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.583847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over5c2,205$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over20c2,195$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee60…9c89backed Over21c2,093$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over4c2,083$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over13c2,038$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.881,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over21c2,000$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41514829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under79c2,000$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42511755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over2c2,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316515.4%10 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd003…8341backed Over5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over21c2,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41010128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over21c2,000$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.3146546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Over5c1,982$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005024%12 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f82…b06cbacked Under76c1,971$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.11838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over7c1,960$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.361,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over20c1,956$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40119329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac3…78a5backed Over20c1,951$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Under74c1,939$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.945320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over21c1,811$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.8372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.