England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d200f51a86277b61b714360f13d13620d20d8434723a307650b50875932bab0

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $165,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $189,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,353 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	69c	23,170$16,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,116.53	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes	19c	20,481$3,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,802.19	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked No	80c	8,000$6,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.96	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+336.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Yes	43c	5,064$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	19c	4,810$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.26	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	3,641$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.52	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	79c	3,558$2,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.51	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	78c	3,004$2,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.98	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	21c	2,722$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.05	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes	22c	2,300$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Yes	20c	1,780$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes	24c	1,691$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.84	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	18c	1,670$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.89	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	77c	1,602$1,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.66	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	79c	1,546$1,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.72	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes	24c	1,273$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes	18c	1,190$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.89	41	2.4%1 W · 40 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-96.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb497…89b9backed Yes	15c	1,186$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes	21c	1,127$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.57	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No	75c	1,031$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.71	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaa68…94a7backed No	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	279	51.6%144 W · 135 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	19c	999.99$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Yes	19c	999.99$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	245	40.8%100 W · 145 L	+13.1wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cd…e10fbacked Yes	7c	945.16$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.94	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes	21c	907$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.47	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe48…2ac2backed Yes	18c	899.95$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.99	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed Yes	44c	890$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.03	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	76c	881.79$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.45	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…5713backed Yes	20c	750$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed No	79c	716.91$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.03	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No	72c	710.5$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.99	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x310e…8d5dbacked Yes	19c	673.68$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+27%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc246…14c6backed No	75c	629.98$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.39	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f4…5d98backed Yes	24c	627.6$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-78%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No	79c	621.7$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.71	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes	18c	610$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.8	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes	25c	602.39$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.16	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5544…fe9ebacked No	71c	599.97$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.99	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0461…1ad6backed Yes	18c	527.58$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb528…0874backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52fb…288ebacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f2…640ebacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b72…3ce9backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	33	72.7%24 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	71cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc940…4d39backed Yes	20c	498.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	18c	497.98$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.19	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes	20c	485$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+5.9wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84e1…61d0backed Yes	21c	483.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f23…40b4backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed No	68c	470.35$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.18	235	58.3%137 W · 98 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf110…218ebacked No	64c	469.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.24	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes	19c	465.81$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.61	153	25.5%39 W · 114 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ef…cd3bbacked Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	20c	436.76$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.35	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes	23c	434.04$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked No	79c	423.02$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.83	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	66cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No	64c	408.48$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.07	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Yes	26c	391.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ab…dc7ebacked Yes	19c	379.47$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.1	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-57%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No	80c	379.27$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.92	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2190…bee9backed Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	13%6 W · 40 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes	23c	357.77$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.89	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x963a…b8fbbacked No	79c	357.14$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee1d…eb55backed Yes	28c	351.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+121.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8381…29f5backed No	71c	351.5$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Yes	40c	350.56$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.12	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda62…f654backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	69c	332.03$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.41	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe261…734bbacked No	76c	315.83$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.37	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes	20c	310.83$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Yes	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	100	42%42 W · 58 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes	21c	300$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	276	37.7%104 W · 172 L	+15.3wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes	19c	300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	100	38%38 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed No	58c	299.42$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.88	87	46%40 W · 47 L	+8.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed No	64c	299.16$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.8	172	29.1%50 W · 122 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked No	80c	286.05$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.21	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes	17c	286.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	192	25%48 W · 144 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed No	76c	281.58$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.58	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.6wins	+0.19per pick	49cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	65c	270.88$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.2	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	61c	268$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.52	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5354…9905backed No	78c	256.04$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.04	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x096b…bf95backed Yes	20c	253.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	39%16 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefdb…3312backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	29.1%30 W · 73 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d32…c528backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	71c	248.84$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.31	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…9491backed Yes	19c	247.37$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb90f…ea7abacked Yes	21c	243.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	190	40%76 W · 114 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c0…718fbacked Yes	20c	241.66$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…a9d7backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3d…6039backed Yes	46c	234.51$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.36	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb379…1a28backed No	80c	232.72$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.54	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d28…c76dbacked Yes	28c	232.14$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b6…2505backed Yes	23c	226.92$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0d…f05abacked Yes	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8038…8b15backed Yes	21c	220.86$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.38	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Yes	30c	220$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	281	43.8%123 W · 158 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes	21c	219.05$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f19…dbaebacked Yes	20c	209.2$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.84	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event