TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,989,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,238,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,989,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under29c224,795$64,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,625.518932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under16c179,221$28,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,562.062,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under27c115,461$31,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,448.2474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over75c59,855$44,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,079.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over74c59,742$44,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,483.292,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Under11c32,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5203520%7 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under12c26,094$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.656016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under13c23,764$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under11c22,222$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.8531851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under11c20,907$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.215334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over77c19,839$15,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,653.221,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under11c17,873$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.211,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Under11c17,000$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.424652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under15c16,010$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Under22c15,601$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.179948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under33c15,151$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9941331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb7…fe3cbacked Under11c14,579$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Under11c14,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.996114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under14c13,044$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.4435719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under4c12,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over71c12,000$8,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,48014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9329…035dbacked Over77c10,489$8,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.42757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over72c10,110$7,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.3440655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under12c9,730$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.073,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under11c9,000$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97530626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under11c8,376$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.4532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Under12c8,285$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.323056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb37…0cf3backed Under11c8,136$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.7837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d32…9dfcbacked Under11c7,780$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.84434.1%15 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under28c7,000$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.654431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Under21c6,768$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.6510251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c7d…83edbacked Under17c6,441$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.961060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Under22c6,330$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.172653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under11c6,106$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.6884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over73c5,880$4,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.781,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over73c5,723$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.5266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under23c5,553$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Under29c5,340$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.2231945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under11c5,098$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.7468141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb667…5548backed Under11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick12cpaid+94.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.6422639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Under12c4,972$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007958.2%46 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under12c4,898$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…cfd7backed Over72c4,676$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.721384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3d…6039backed Under16c4,387$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.651520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over73c4,113$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.262138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under31c3,658$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.633342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over73c3,580$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.5549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over73c3,436$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.3420560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed Under30c3,394$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.6812052.5%63 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over73c3,386$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.6820186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over71c3,372$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.721,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under13c3,244$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.126841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Under11c3,091$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.442544%11 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Over79c3,001$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.1619737.6%74 W · 123 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe234…304abacked Under23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690100%0 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under11c2,883$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9171638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d3…5554backed Under11c2,699$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034524.1%83 W · 262 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ede…59e6backed Over79c2,546$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.44266.7%28 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x954d…6f01backed Under11c2,501$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.871154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+95.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over75c2,471$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.522,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over73c2,387$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.3317747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Over78c2,195$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.0221738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under11c2,174$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under11c2,122$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.592732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Under12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under11c2,000$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21524626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under11c2,000$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.556151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under11c2,000$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.489150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over72c1,938$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.723852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under11c1,875$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.61,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under11c1,778$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under28c1,755$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under28c1,754$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Under29c1,725$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Under17c1,670$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0110330.1%31 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa78d…130bbacked Over71c1,657$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.33751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under2c1,650$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under11c1,632$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.471,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Over68c1,600$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.937755.8%43 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4078…eed8backed Under11c1,569$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.595250%26 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under10c1,545$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.622,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under11c1,523$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.531,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Under3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under3c1,491$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.739910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ea…a68ebacked Under13c1,440$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+80.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbbb3…69a6backed Under11c1,400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under11c1,368$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7330039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Over79c1,353$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.8812661.9%78 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under11c1,352$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57e…9df6backed Over70c1,338$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.427368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x174a…48e9backed Under30c1,300$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under20c1,299$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3319744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under11c1,242$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.41,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under13c1,071$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.