TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6db…2839

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,580
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.33
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.25
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$550.94
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+294.4%+$581.47
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$537.72
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$541.79
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$654.21
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$575
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$707
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$326.67
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$691.2
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,370
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$330.98
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$1,028.96
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$666.08
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+106.3%+$33.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$221.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.1%+$32.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36%+$324.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.