Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13cfce13aeca9a596dd649aa8b9c0eb31e1364d627e55d55e39b1c535f4864da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,854 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 8,998$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.74 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 8,972$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,236.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 58c | 3,492$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.29 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 3,119$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.33 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…91b3backed Under | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 41c | 2,330$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.67 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 43c | 2,324$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.88 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 43c | 2,107$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.98 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 23c | 1,250$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…0d66backed Under | 43c | 1,243$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Over | 58c | 1,187$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 54c | 982.01$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 43c | 929.98$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.95 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 43c | 881.54$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.48 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Under | 49c | 777.55$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 42c | 713.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.07 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 58c | 699.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 652.92$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.61 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 55c | 600$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 576.46$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.17 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 513.56$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 41c | 362.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.88 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 44c | 315$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 44c | 304.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…ae92backed Over | 33c | 303.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 295$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 17c | 282.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…c865backed Under | 60c | 222.25$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 59c | 219.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 212.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 200.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 44c | 162.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 155.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…6f83backed Over | 23c | 152.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 43c | 139.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7907…2ad0backed Under | 45c | 136$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…0bd5backed Under | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 57c | 117$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 112.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…2fbfbacked Over | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 44c | 99.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 58c | 94.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 45c | 91.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 56c | 82.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 73.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 69.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 71c | 68.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 29c | 68.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 45c | 59.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6ceebacked Over | 17c | 58.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 57c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 56c | 55.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…1a3cbacked Under | 44c | 54.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Under | 43c | 52.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…d1b2backed Over | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 46.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 44.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.