Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76d4b2da64f5df71c0f7b05042796a0845098165518c90a25d91a5e43b3cf4fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,009 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 25,449$12,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,809.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 39c | 9,997$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853.15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 7,614$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.22 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 51c | 3,900$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…8720backed Over | 80c | 2,616$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 76c | 2,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 999$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 992$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.44 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 973.55$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.77 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 968.04$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.34 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 918.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 20c | 785$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.6 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 20c | 600.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.55 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 525.71$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 50c | 494$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 390.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 50c | 387.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Over | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 30c | 338.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 21c | 324.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 31c | 320.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 70c | 310.89$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Over | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 79c | 293.27$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.69 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 50c | 247.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Under | 77c | 211.03$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 50c | 207.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 49c | 206.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 200.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 174.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 169.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 21c | 168$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…4901backed Over | 52c | 164.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 133.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…73dbbacked Over | 35c | 123.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…06a0backed Over | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +83%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Over | 44c | 104.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3a…c3c8backed Over | 46c | 103.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 49c | 102.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 94.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under | 77c | 92.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 87.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 67c | 87.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 47c | 67.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…0e25backed Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 65.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 38c | 65.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Over | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 77c | 53.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 53c | 50.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…b82dbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Over | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 39c | 43.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 50c | 42.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 58c | 39.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…29d4backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 36.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…8aefbacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…6f83backed Over | 44c | 28.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…e4cabacked Under | 54c | 27.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 52c | 27.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 50c | 26.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Over | 44c | 25.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 55c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…c68bbacked Under | 70c | 22.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216c…2dc0backed Over | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 53c | 19.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Over | 79c | 12.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.