TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb224…fedb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-53.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC København vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$6.55
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.92
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$38.28
Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)backed Antalyaspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$4.22
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$22.67
Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$218.99
Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$94.48
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.65
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$8.7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$32.3
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+60.9%+$13.24
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.85
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+110.7%+$289
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$170.52
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.32
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-12.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$10.66
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.2%+$112.03
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Texas State Bobcatsbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-3.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+65.9%+$415.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$17.44
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$9.86
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+52.7%+$6.9
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+189.9%+$163.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.13
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$9.1
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$19.11
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$48.94
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.8%+$4.85
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$21.15
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)backed Angers SCO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.