Other European Leagues · resolved market
Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x100a9400ef6f4a3d2dec5f3f1c7b15b7f95dccb69c7004107b1eb77df3f021c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 2,984$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.78 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 2,254$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over | 74c | 1,317$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 17c | 1,311$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.85 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 21c | 632.7$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 18c | 576.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 418.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 77c | 399.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 78c | 159.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Over | 74c | 148.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 67c | 145.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 79c | 140.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 17c | 137$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 74c | 79.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 67.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 33c | 63.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 23c | 60.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…1072backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…ac27backed Over | 75c | 35.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b73fbacked Over | 70c | 33.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…cdb7backed Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Over | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Kocaelispor won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Kocaelispor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.