TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Under20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9916647%78 W · 88 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c5,490$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7453740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c5,332$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.763,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c4,892$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.3548141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6056…2345backed Under49c3,746$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over79c3,041$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under50c2,900$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.9860%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over42c2,380$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.41540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c2,368$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.811,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over80c2,160$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.051,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c1,892$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.12,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over80c1,876$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.26762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2804…85e7backed Over75c1,579$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.829067.8%61 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over72c1,259$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.582373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc333…05a5backed Over80c930$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over51c812.58$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.168420.2%17 W · 67 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over61c801.13$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.131553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over57c763.22$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.9738055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Over80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1256100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c581.29$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1733938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under33c515.15$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704025%10 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under43c514.26$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.344445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.774360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over61c426.92$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9214260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over80c417.34$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.475846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over52c403.85$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8526433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over52c375.68$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.936860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd403…048abacked Over80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over52c374.79$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.784971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+43.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over52c374.36$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.353961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over52c370.79$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.983655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c359.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39230%0 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Over52c336.54$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.54540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over80c327.77$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5522047.3%104 W · 116 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e5…6f7abacked Over80c301.25$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5433047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Over62c283.95$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.92458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under18c263.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.442046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over49c249.97$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4949647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over52c246.73$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.43850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over42c239.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.184254.8%23 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over52c232.38$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.541957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under40c232.29$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3178248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1213234.4%11 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over44c215.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.911450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over69c208.7$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849062.2%56 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1247646.1%35 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+95%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over51c195.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2548658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c192.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1281732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under32c152.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2620645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over62c132.9$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.511748.7%57 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c124.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9834655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…1d61backed Over69c124.61$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under49c122$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.782240.9%9 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-37.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.955547.3%26 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.382759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under38c104.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5776234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over44c101$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.565839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3038845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511744.4%52 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024322.2%54 W · 189 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over52c99.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.782166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+61.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over80c98.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.673036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Over52c98.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.081080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Over52c98.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Over69c97.26$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over52c95.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.971573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+39.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.593253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over68c87.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.665461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under37c83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7149143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over67c75.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9322157%126 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.733262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over68c64.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7110863%68 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54468.2%30 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed Under33c61.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2559…053bbacked Over80c59.15$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+133.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Over52c58.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.891735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c2…db14backed Over68c56.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Under27c55.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf27…67ebbacked Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over56c51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4920753.6%111 W · 96 L+22.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95bb…288dbacked Over40c50.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.21450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+225.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.