Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ffdca45fcfcc42395ff974bc9ac67d49a76ddf73b72c84f6e7d61fa564a9027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 1,088$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…9c87backed Yes | 61c | 885$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked No | 39c | 882.35$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Yes | 54c | 784.88$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 597.84$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.37 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 61c | 524.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Yes | 34c | 441.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 391.63$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed No | 8c | 310.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 41c | 238$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 59c | 238$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 212.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 50c | 205.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 66c | 157.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 62c | 93.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 91.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…045dbacked Yes | 50c | 69.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 66.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 41c | 64.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 63.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 51c | 52.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 71c | 52.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 75c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 60c | 35.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 46c | 32.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 74c | 32.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 74c | 32.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 39c | 29.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 79c | 27.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 79c | 27.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 27.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 79c | 27.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 79c | 27.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 71c | 26.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 51c | 25.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996a…674ebacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Yes | 56c | 22.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…8cb7backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.