Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d87b389e52095734c4a01b5ca35df4833462ffc275ea54500d7a71098b76f87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 36c | 4,408$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 3,422$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.28 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 38c | 1,619$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.63 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,469$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.43 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 53c | 1,369$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.79 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed Under | 4c | 1,350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 822.87$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.46 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 38c | 519.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.57 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 64c | 407$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 36c | 325$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 299.66$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 67c | 298.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 38c | 260.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 67c | 222$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 212.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 211.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 195.88$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 64c | 177.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 64c | 177.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 64c | 177.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 63c | 174.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 63c | 174.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 63c | 174.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 63c | 174.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 63c | 170.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 155.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.41 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 64c | 152.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Under | 67c | 151.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 48c | 139.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 38c | 129.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 43c | 123.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 62c | 123.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 106.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 35c | 101.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 90.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 87.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 50c | 79.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 69c | 78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 50c | 77.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 48c | 75.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 73.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 59c | 67.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 47c | 65.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 61c | 65.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 65c | 61.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Over | 50c | 56.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Over | 35c | 38.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 55c | 36.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 39c | 34.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 44c | 28.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 54c | 20.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 62c | 16.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.