TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$402,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over57c153,762$87,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,655.426358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over57c117,505$67,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,012.271560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under43c102,647$44,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,610.616465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under43c73,068$31,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,388.484042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under42c16,000$6,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,779.9516652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over41c15,790$6,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,316.0716045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under59c15,132$8,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,928.1348141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under43c11,021$4,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,715.9922047.3%104 W · 116 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50016647%78 W · 88 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c8,469$4,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,571.43,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under42c7,235$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.985653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under43c6,977$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under43c6,977$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under42c5,790$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4551361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.163066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004949%24 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7606058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76010041%41 W · 59 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.995461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under46c3,696$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under43c3,306$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.763036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under48c3,008$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.975133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c2,705$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.642,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Over56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.57977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under42c2,661$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.887254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under42c2,277$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.3415747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under43c2,257$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.3818545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c2,244$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.81,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under56c1,902$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.894337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over58c1,792$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over57c1,592$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.4629855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under44c1,371$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over58c1,354$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.364461.4%27 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under61c1,234$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9911148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under43c1,151$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c1,124$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0748146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-85.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42049647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004254.8%23 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c999.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-69.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under46c899.99$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8618759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.076768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over36c836.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under45c834.28$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.846860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over59c804.75$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.951764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Over57c754.94$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.891266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c750$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.563645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over58c742.46$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.835940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Under41c735.1$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Over57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over58c629.31$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.317349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2645455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.719067.8%61 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under47c529.63$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.454971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+43.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.327458.1%43 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over58c518.05$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.581968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154465.9%29 W · 15 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over49c483.61$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.613158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004744.7%21 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under43c461$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…0d62backed Over58c434.48$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over24c423.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.734916.3%8 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over39c422.1$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.821,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under43c420$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under43c420$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under42c419.89$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9517749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9381…9ae2backed Under76c399.99$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over36c399.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.997646.1%35 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under43c393.96$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.48252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Under42c393.58$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under42c389$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.383658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over58c387.63$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1518644.1%82 W · 104 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under43c370$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.12850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over41c369.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.686550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over58c362.68$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5821355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over55c351.7$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.031,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under35c334.05$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5333938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9950…d55fbacked Under44c329.55$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over34c316.46$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.463551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Over24c312.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under45c311.45$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.158420.2%17 W · 67 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over55c299.32$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under51c294.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under61c279.98$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.071,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over25c279.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5248658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over58c267.18$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.228547.1%40 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over56c267.11$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.373161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.165364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under45c262.85$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9811049.1%54 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under45c262.85$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.986952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over57c262.26$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.774445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over55c248.2$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.23253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.