TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9381…9ae2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.52
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Spread: Brentford (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$25.75
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$37.05
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.85
Spread: Knicks (-18.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Spread: Kings (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$53.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+70.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PDD Holdings (PDD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.1
Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aguilar vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.