TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under63c50,666$31,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,771.526048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over33c14,714$4,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,893.8717731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Over38c11,453$4,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,331.221770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c9,802$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,614.324,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under62c6,484$4,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.51,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under62c5,501$3,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.042,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c5,083$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.213,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9915952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c2,750$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.121,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over37c2,601$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.22540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over37c2,600$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.137954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over37c2,573$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over37c2,478$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.0135759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over37c2,478$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.0128357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over37c2,478$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.0123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over37c2,475$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.922455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over37c2,028$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.3122758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over37c1,822$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.446373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under62c1,715$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.9520159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Under71c1,505$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.874645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over37c1,490$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.0811266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under63c1,456$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.3265356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over37c1,403$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.9320360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over38c1,267$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.46848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62b6…5de0backed Under62c1,195$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under62c1,182$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.23253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under62c1,048$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.3928055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.0713230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over37c991.21$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7516660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under62c887.29$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1775751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over36c854.22$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.525253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over37c780.14$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.653759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under64c764.38$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1813054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under61c726.34$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.278756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c723.35$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8770050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over37c650.11$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.542065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over37c642.25$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6317659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7217128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over38c577.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5212954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over37c520.08$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.436762.7%42 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under63c499.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.993470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over32c494.28$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2519344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over20c480.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.031764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under62c472.84$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.684454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over29c469.16$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6884939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under62c420$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.62263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under62c420$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.62268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under63c388.02$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.578670.9%61 W · 25 L+11.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over38c377.05$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4511651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over37c372.45$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8119953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under62c370$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.64755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over37c364.88$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1356660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under65c356.17$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3184144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over34c306.46$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.682733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under63c287.75$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3119260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under63c275.2$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.821346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2222939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.228055%44 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Over37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.222347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2217856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.221346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over29c256.72$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4522653.5%121 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over37c253.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9710957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over37c252.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.333161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.344755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over10c239.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.651952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked Under62c220$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under66c210.58$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0913251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under65c195.8$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.535461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa853…58a9backed Over8c192.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.631315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-54%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5470…7685backed Over37c188.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.831070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Over40c181.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.044168.3%28 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over31c157.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9244840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over26c156.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7514850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Under63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.431060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under74c154.12$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.361,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Under63c151.66$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.122958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.620451.5%105 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under63c143.48$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5822658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd09a…0d55backed Under72c143.38$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under63c136.5$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.221,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Over37c136.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.595343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under59c133.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.825366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over37c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.117861.5%48 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Over9c129.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under62c128.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9574657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over27c107.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under62c104.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.928045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over39c98.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.539557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.683562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over37c96.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Over35c88.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.355453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over29c86.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9937039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.