TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,049

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c9,921$4,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,462.414,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c7,519$2,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,618.413,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d4…7a70backed Over57c5,664$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over49c5,100$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.933847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under53c4,787$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.15339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over67c3,150$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.522962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed Over46c1,928$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+97.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,790$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.341,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over46c1,595$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.72250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over59c1,546$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.61457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c1,480$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.332,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2804…85e7backed Over45c1,267$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…be4ebacked Over80c1,230$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over53c1,055$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.942846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over65c1,054$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.314549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under35c774.79$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.951,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over46c725.7$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.821764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over45c591.57$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.213655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c547.18$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.891,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over27c510.01$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1213230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb248…32a5backed Over66c492.01$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under62c397.65$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.955072%36 W · 14 L+6.5wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Over76c383.13$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.86757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over78c353.45$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.434555.6%25 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over74c349.85$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8116962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Under35c343$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.955032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over59c330.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.084170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under30c319.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5344840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over65c301.23$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.811651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over65c301.23$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.817466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over78c300$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2354146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under48c284.59$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.989336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over65c270.07$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.549244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over76c259.37$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.123056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c257.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.671,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over55c219.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Under53c190.83$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.192347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under59c186.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4213251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.242733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa1…0193backed Under30c170.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over51c161.84$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.732623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1c72…7703backed Over19c161.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.47633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over62c157.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.721942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over65c154.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Over64c152.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.842564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over65c150.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.794367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under24c124.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.995054%27 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under35c123.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9911853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over56c110.48$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.325759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under66c102.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8220360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over17c101.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2610634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under65c98.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3517856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over65c97.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6462744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c97.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7284144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over43c86.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1120148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under35c84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.65959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over61c83.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.785248.1%25 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Over65c79.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.89666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under60c78.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2322758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over65c75.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.954052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d77…b7bebacked Over15c72.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.952729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over65c68.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.547170.4%50 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x696b…8181backed Under57c68.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over73c67.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.195156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over64c63.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under35c60.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad5a…e224backed Over59c59.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd4…c292backed Over59c55.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.153828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over66c53.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.771275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4de2…60acbacked Under36c53.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.511384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+83%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under63c50.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.522455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under63c50.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.510957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under63c50.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.523456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under63c50.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.57954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under63c50.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.56550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under60c49.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5916456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under60c49.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5917659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over62c47.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.313842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed Over59c46.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under61c46.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0335759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under61c46.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0333161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under61c46.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.032065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under61c46.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0328357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under61c46.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.037861.5%48 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under35c44.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1627653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under35c43.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218747.1%88 W · 99 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under62c41.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7511566.1%76 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under61c40.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6110464.4%67 W · 37 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.398641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over52c37.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.425354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over55c35.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4624757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over62c35.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.896982.6%57 W · 12 L+15.0wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over43c33.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4920541.5%85 W · 120 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d6…477ebacked Over60c32.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under52c30.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7822760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb638…75ecbacked Over44c30.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over74c30.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.641520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.