La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77a7f6188ed5257a6346be2818fc896dcb4c2b0230aa2e52a371c197451d1bf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sevilla FCof Real Oviedo, Sevilla FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Real Oviedo | 20c | 551$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sevilla FC | 66c | 397.17$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sevilla FC | 74c | 360.28$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Sevilla FC | 57c | 336.1$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Real Oviedo | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Sevilla FC | 59c | 267.91$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Real Oviedo | 40c | 241.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Real Oviedo | 42c | 141.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Real Oviedo | 14c | 135.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Sevilla FC | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed Real Oviedo | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Oviedo | 22c | 99.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Real Oviedo | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Real Oviedo | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sevilla FC | 59c | 38.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Sevilla FC | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.