La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc54e2fce4c5c34901ca5c973298387f222dde716437a7ef43111b1637a41fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 47c | 1,957$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,184$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.73 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 13c | 730.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 56c | 666.92$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 63c | 620.81$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…5de0backed No | 61c | 480.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…7a70backed Yes | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 431.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.56 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 324.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Yes | 50c | 281.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 163.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…603dbacked No | 64c | 152.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 52c | 118.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Yes | 35c | 104.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…84c1backed Yes | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Yes | 16c | 92.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 86.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 46c | 64.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 54c | 64.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 26c | 58.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 48c | 52.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 69c | 48.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…5813backed Yes | 46c | 42.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…9bd8backed Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed No | 63c | 28.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +44%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 28.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 41c | 27.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 49c | 25.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 66c | 22.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Yes | 50c | 20.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…251fbacked Yes | 50c | 20.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 54c | 19.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 60c | 18.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked No | 78c | 16.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.