TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf341…9bd8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16454.3%89 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$83.39
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$75.32
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+413.2%+$82.63
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$116.22
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+130%+$64.99
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.27
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Spain to score first vs. Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59%+$64.86
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$17.55
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$36.15
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.95
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.14
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+257.8%+$66.6
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.68
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$28.25
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.19
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$101.29
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.