TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c14,373$4,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,665.33,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over65c13,739$8,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,761.6517731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c9,140$4,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,018.6683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under57c6,293$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.2524147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c5,218$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.744,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over65c5,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.996468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over74c4,884$3,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.1311444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,650$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32520054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over43c2,055$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.419244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under34c1,249$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.371,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Over42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over43c898.42$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.111929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under58c840.34$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.413054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under33c833.79$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.491,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over41c728.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.15330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over63c695.96$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7111149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over42c649.7$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.831,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under27c626.64$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over43c496.38$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.935143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under60c488$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.916642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under57c399.98$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over57c369.41$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.922357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c344.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.721,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over73c311.58$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.137255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1747750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over69c292.34$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.631450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over69c290$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.93868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under43c288.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5220360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under40c267.19$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.51,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over67c247.53$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.224639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over40c241$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.64238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…7f3fbacked Over60c237.83$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.31875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under41c232.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.517856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2915451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.024755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.026861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a83…9c87backed Over43c209.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over42c209.13$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.298041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a2a…4be1backed Over40c208$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.553339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over57c202.31$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8322753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under58c194.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfac0…3086backed Over55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.57520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick69cpaid-63.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over42c193.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.889557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under30c189.77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.514028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8142158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over69c170.68$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9111651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over36c160.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.722729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6e…03bbbacked Over50c156.7$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under32c150$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.620252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over60c149.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under42c135.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5917466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over42c123.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.641866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.646937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over65c112.96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5417458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Over78c111.82$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.754452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Over64c106.24$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.722040%8 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over43c104.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3230842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x034a…e968backed Under32c100.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over64c97.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2218656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed Under58c97.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.542352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Over73c97.03$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.22060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3162744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under27c95.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.826446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over73c94.16$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.295354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over41c93.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5575451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under31c91.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5345841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under59c90.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.656349.2%31 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Under28c77.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbde…8320backed Over61c72.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.651553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over40c72.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.386963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa853…58a9backed Over41c69.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-54%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over48c64.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.176349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c60.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.972,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over58c59.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2722450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over43c56.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0149228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over73c55.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.366373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under34c55.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0213251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over73c53.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4811266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Under58c50.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.256731.3%21 W · 46 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2619260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268670.9%61 W · 25 L+11.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over73c47.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.834178%32 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90a3…1701backed Over73c47.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over66c46.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.641275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6602…7047backed Over42c45.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked Under31c45.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed Over70c45.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over43c44.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.66968.1%47 W · 22 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf341…9bd8backed Over43c44.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over43c44.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.620441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8c…880abacked Over43c44.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.65263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over42c43.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.131,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.