La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf25245c8153e9b6e97d0de8d99aae1ed539ad71fdd8bdd6afd6a1c506e26e450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,130$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.59 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked No | 51c | 850.69$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 51c | 795.89$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 49c | 509.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.67 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 66c | 500.71$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 453.66$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.99 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 65c | 376.54$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 361.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 49c | 268.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 51c | 228.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…2daabacked Yes | 51c | 192.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…37f8backed Yes | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…603dbacked No | 41c | 170.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…03bbbacked Yes | 62c | 129.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 51c | 119.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 63c | 108.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Yes | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 63c | 93.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 77c | 89.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 86.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed No | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 64.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 58.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 55.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 48c | 53.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked No | 27c | 49.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…5b82backed No | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 51c | 43.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 34c | 39.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked No | 50c | 31.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…3d74backed Yes | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 51c | 28.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 66c | 22.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 51c | 22.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…c115backed Yes | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.