La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd25ac8d916abace3161da9d5ca92314633bda572b08eb6af104be048a6533226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 2,245$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.52 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed Under | 15c | 1,920$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.55 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 70c | 1,160$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.3 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 939.6$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.42 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 68c | 810$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 13c | 690.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 70c | 350.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 76c | 329.18$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 10c | 277$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 33c | 255.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 69c | 227.57$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…146abacked Over | 70c | 200.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 32c | 191.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 69c | 176.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 68c | 138.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 68c | 131$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 70c | 124.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 116.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…5b82backed Under | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 30c | 63.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…a8f7backed Over | 70c | 40.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…01febacked Over | 69c | 38.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…d477backed Over | 69c | 35.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 71c | 32.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…e39dbacked Over | 68c | 27.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…4c4cbacked Over | 70c | 21.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.