La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e750da7ae0bb72f26736ea46e42bc1e0ce82b2ea5549daa8c2283a716bf6233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 2c | 7,242$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…9086backed Under | 1c | 4,196$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 78c | 3,470$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.25 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 31c | 3,269$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.95 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…6a9bbacked Under | 1c | 2,796$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 2,235$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.28 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 1,753$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 16c | 1,674$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.99 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…9a75backed Under | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…5211backed Under | 1c | 1,411$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 1c | 1,040$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 28c | 956.8$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.9 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 68c | 750.5$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.07 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 23c | 626.92$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.87 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 30c | 460.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.74 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 33c | 439.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.15 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Over | 34c | 405.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.78 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 319.13$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 80c | 262.29$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +895.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…42f1backed Over | 68c | 255$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 40c | 208.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 78c | 207$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 186.3$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 33c | 180$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Under | 18c | 177.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 77c | 171.48$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 163.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Over | 28c | 153.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 152.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 144.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 77c | 140.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 139.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Under | 68c | 108.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 42c | 103.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 23c | 101.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…007abacked Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Under | 20c | 69.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 77c | 64.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 23c | 57.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 45c | 44.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…84ddbacked Under | 75c | 40.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 66c | 39.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed Under | 70c | 39.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 66c | 37.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 79c | 29.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Under | 64c | 27.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 63c | 25.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 63c | 25.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Under | 41c | 24.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 62c | 24.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 58c | 23.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 73c | 15.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 73c | 15.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 73c | 15.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 73c | 15.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked Under | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 72c | 14.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 72c | 14.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Under | 72c | 14.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…10d6backed Under | 77c | 13.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.