TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfac0…3086

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.29
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.52
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.28
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.99
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.07
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.08
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.75
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.79
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.6%+$15.05
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$21.84
Will Austria win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$21.84
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.42
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.51
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.88
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Bologna win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Genoa (-0.5)backed US Sassuolo Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Inter vs. Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$35.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.34
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25%+$5
VfL Bochum vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38.17
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$17.9
FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
SC Freiburg vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$20.64
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$57.89
Werder Bremen vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$32.13
VfB Stuttgart vs. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$20.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.4
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.83
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.15
Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick69cpaid-63.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+53.8%+$9.08
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.3
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+156.4%+$46.92
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bellarmine Knights vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$159.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$18.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.