TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Austria win on 2025-11-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Yes76c62,311$47,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,927.6274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No25c60,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.9927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No23c20,656$4,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,750.8825038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No25c16,390$4,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,155.3512525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab19…4876backed No22c15,731$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.882133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No23c12,485$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.6516835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes75c12,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00028133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes75c10,915$8,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.8676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes77c10,326$7,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.0112451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No1c7,692$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2128731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No24c5,241$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.747354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes79c4,620$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes78c3,867$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.821478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No15c3,412$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No23c3,250$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.53935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes76c2,771$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.211457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No24c2,485$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.917247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No25c2,402$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.251625%4 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b1…5163backed Yes75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No22c1,741$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.5123622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No23c1,653$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.922035%7 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No24c1,545$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.795745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes75c1,534$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.0229343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes75c1,361$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.698960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes76c1,313$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.498940.4%36 W · 53 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes77c1,297$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.422965.5%19 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca51…ca40backed Yes75c1,270$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes75c1,034$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8413748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22022421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No22c999.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.997740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No24c999.95$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.999324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No23c999.6$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9121016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No24c999.45$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.546536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No23c874.94$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8910452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No22c815.49$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4138526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed No25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes75c785$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.255538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6896…3682backed Yes78c703.14$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16129250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes78c609.79$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.153161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes76c596.05$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4526…783ebacked Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3393…3519backed No23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7658…fc19backed Yes78c450$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No24c419.39$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6521140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes76c401.32$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3222846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No23c333.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.675238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No9c331.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8113131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes75c321.92$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5717048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No9c310$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.82025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes75c271.28$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.822445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6712554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes77c258.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.291346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes77c217.16$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes75c213.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.331080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed No26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4616647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes76c186.7$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.635747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes75c186.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.654837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ad…ca63backed Yes77c175.35$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.334546.7%21 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb9…3864backed Yes78c171.79$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.79887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0abc…dda6backed Yes76c166.01$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes77c163$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8230031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No21c160.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.824344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked No26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed No25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.56212.9%8 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No22c149.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8639621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1e…7854backed Yes75c137.4$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No23c135.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6811259.8%67 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.586056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbe9…156bbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x063b…7328backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac5…7960backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.873545.7%16 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf517…2c9fbacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb36…10a3backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes78c127.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6219461.3%119 W · 75 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Yes76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.26560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2329645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223476.5%26 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245054%27 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2418150.3%91 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257634.2%26 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes76c90$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.63560%21 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfac0…3086backed Yes75c87.36$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.841973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No24c84.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.516925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9afd…0aeebacked No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.