TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x063b…7328

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,024
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Will Austria win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Gibraltar win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Will Latvia vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Moldova win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$94.74
Will Serbia win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will Armenia win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Greece win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,120
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,008
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,550
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,028.99
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+156.4%+$1,646.99
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$245.25
Will Belgium win Group E?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$299.88
Will France win Group D?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$299.86
Will Germany win Group A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT+25%+$75
Will Portugal win Group F?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$132.3
Will Spain win Group B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+44.8%+$132.4
Will Switzerland win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Germany win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$55.23
Will Portugal win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$93.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-70.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-44.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$522.89
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$860
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$717.05
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$578.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
Was Milei hacked?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$5,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$5,501.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499.66
SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,501Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$808.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+63.9%+$195
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$496.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.