Token Launches · resolved market
Was Milei hacked?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x301b154251f874fe66587efb5131bde608022e3816decc893051f6986da34f4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,660,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,317,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,660,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e50…2a28backed Yes | 5c | 356,457$17,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,602.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…80acbacked Yes | 4c | 249,318$10,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,858.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 1c | 237,623$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.87 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…fa31backed Yes | 1c | 181,955$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 2c | 163,175$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 163,014$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…c71dbacked Yes | 8c | 141,374$11,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…0f80backed Yes | 0c | 119,999$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 1c | 118,472$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -71%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…7190backed Yes | 0c | 105,849$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…38b7backed Yes | 2c | 88,939$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…4cd1backed Yes | 1c | 81,946$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 7c | 76,751$5,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,217.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 7c | 76,574$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9638…f725backed Yes | 6c | 75,084$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 7c | 72,000$5,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,056.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 0c | 69,447$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed Yes | 6c | 69,076$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232b…5c16backed Yes | 3c | 58,078$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes | 5c | 54,978$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…643bbacked Yes | 2c | 51,354$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…dd17backed Yes | 2c | 50,180$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 0c | 49,175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…3b20backed Yes | 7c | 49,010$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…eb4ebacked Yes | 1c | 41,316$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…8480backed Yes | 6c | 40,704$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f8…53dfbacked Yes | 2c | 39,269$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b7…f8fabacked Yes | 7c | 37,546$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…e421backed Yes | 0c | 37,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…c666backed Yes | 5c | 36,850$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…ec72backed Yes | 1c | 35,235$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…325abacked Yes | 1c | 32,252$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…b969backed Yes | 8c | 32,107$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…4800backed Yes | 1c | 31,978$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995b…91a8backed Yes | 3c | 31,615$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…75d2backed Yes | 5c | 31,498$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…a11abacked Yes | 0c | 29,436$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…8105backed Yes | 2c | 29,093$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cb…b05dbacked Yes | 5c | 27,966$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…1163backed Yes | 9c | 26,670$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…4369backed Yes | 1c | 24,932$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Yes | 1c | 23,527$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Yes | 7c | 23,323$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…bc0dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…5a69backed Yes | 4c | 22,170$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 1c | 22,026$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caa…99f3backed Yes | 5c | 21,640$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…4fbfbacked Yes | 5c | 21,296$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30e…1a5dbacked Yes | 5c | 21,221$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 1c | 20,978$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…3e7dbacked Yes | 3c | 20,820$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…0383backed Yes | 2c | 20,207$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 20,138$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.01 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…6cc6backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…ae5abacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…71e9backed Yes | 4c | 18,453$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e23…61a8backed Yes | 8c | 17,233$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 1c | 17,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…c383backed Yes | 4c | 17,146$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…2283backed Yes | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…80eabacked Yes | 5c | 16,138$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5e…1062backed Yes | 4c | 15,871$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Yes | 1c | 15,758$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 1c | 15,660$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 1c | 13,833$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Yes | 1c | 13,259$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 5c | 13,176$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…ce02backed Yes | 3c | 13,118$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…08ffbacked Yes | 1c | 13,112$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe769…de1dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,017$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…c696backed Yes | 7c | 12,848$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed Yes | 1c | 12,645$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…810ebacked Yes | 4c | 12,242$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Yes | 2c | 12,048$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f00…14a7backed Yes | 5c | 11,771$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…e92cbacked Yes | 5c | 11,485$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…ffccbacked Yes | 6c | 10,714$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb18…6190backed Yes | 9c | 10,508$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…625bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,460$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…b50abacked Yes | 8c | 10,408$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…81c7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc763…9e88backed Yes | 1c | 9,874$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Yes | 3c | 9,686$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Yes | 1c | 9,439$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…e343backed Yes | 5c | 9,320$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…309fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,991$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f6…1493backed Yes | 2c | 8,982$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ee…6577backed Yes | 3c | 8,834$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…0b34backed Yes | 5c | 8,828$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…1ad8backed Yes | 1c | 8,804$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe7…9563backed Yes | 1c | 8,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +296.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 8,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed Yes | 5c | 8,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.