TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf658…655ebacked Under54c7,233$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,335.013863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c5,507$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,129.4632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Under22c4,345$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,391.46540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c4,310$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.281,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c3,894$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.582,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over59c3,378$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.1896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over47c2,000$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.972520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x063b…7328backed Over75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over76c1,937$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.71566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over72c1,781$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.071346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under62c1,727$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.8619952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under41c1,488$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over70c1,290$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b3…f830backed Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-58.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under38c958$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.322763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under60c885.23$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.0914651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c880.28$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Over48c823.48$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.27922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-57.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under26c812.04$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.911428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under62c583$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.415244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under62c582.43$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8214752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under62c574.5$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1711346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under62c574.5$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.175054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under34c560.33$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.135166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over62c551.65$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under61c549.2$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.524746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under61c543.9$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4319154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over55c459.95$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc333…05a5backed Over67c450$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over46c430.12$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.853923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.765939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over48c399.63$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over60c362.46$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.485168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under65c356.28$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2610759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Over33c309.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over79c304.24$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under61c297.95$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.214159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over67c292.6$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under58c291.28$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6810451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over68c288.47$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.164365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over51c265.32$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.976924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c250$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.88911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-80.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33fa…681bbacked Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over74c199.97$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick63cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over44c199.91$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.974045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over80c179.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.264963.3%31 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over77c154.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.336972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over80c148.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafcb…19b1backed Over67c146.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.021266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under43c136.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over78c126.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.687657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over78c126.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.687262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under44c125.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.355540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Over80c123.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over56c104.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.421258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.448158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3320452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Over79c99.73$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.781471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccd…8377backed Over48c98.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over80c98.8$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.04450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under43c93.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.343961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x703a…12fbbacked Over44c83.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over47c81.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.784047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc6…e122backed Over61c80.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…f450backed Over75c73.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over48c72.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.881729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c69.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Under27c67.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.752763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over44c65.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.991020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6db9…1bafbacked Under71c65.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over47c56.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec5…6093backed Over45c55.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over56c52.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-62.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over39c51.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9731958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1272…37e7backed Over78c50.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.47540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.221330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4547…ac9bbacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.13225%8 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over63c49.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.298242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Over41c49.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under61c47.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.582268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Under67c46.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d22…6f04backed Over80c45.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over65c42.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.94170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x287f…3c11backed Over63c41.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under43c40.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+57.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over53c38.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4138739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over48c37.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.093154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90d1…e55ebacked Over61c32.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b1…fd38backed Over61c31.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked Under55c31.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over41c31.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.865354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.