TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over53c117,355$62,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,535.82634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Under47c38,980$18,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,659.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c22,421$11,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,337.292,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4900…fc5abacked Under48c15,311$7,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,961.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Over53c10,513$5,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,577.69825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2406165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c7,796$4,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.761,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c7,679$4,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,469.996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c6,324$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.3693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over39c6,215$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.924247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1804971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under48c5,598$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.841741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dba…10dabacked Under48c5,536$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under47c4,775$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.0319952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c4,193$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.8132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.987560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8556365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over57c3,403$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.719054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under47c3,323$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.8614752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under47c3,274$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.4115244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under47c3,272$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.474746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5305653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5905862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.993354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…1c50backed Over55c2,828$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Under48c2,790$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+110.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c2,664$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.846659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c2,501$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.4941954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c2,410$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.921457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under46c2,166$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.497546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c1,956$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.621353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under46c1,935$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.011266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over28c1,758$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.781421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c1,753$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.5419154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c1,573$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.3813636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over54c1,550$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.9512452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.889652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over45c1,454$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.233450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over54c1,354$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.366937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under47c1,181$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.276465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over41c1,176$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under47c1,131$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under46c1,075$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.3114651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Under45c1,074$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.948033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under45c1,064$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.041560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under46c1,052$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.9214159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under47c1,033$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.911346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under47c1,033$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.95054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7030…195ebacked Over57c1,029$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53038547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53042347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5305666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5306369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5306170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over53c943$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4776666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under61c898.8$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.541070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c839.66$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.8291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4245367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over55c707.64$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over55c656.87$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2814249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under45c646.82$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.752161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under48c640.49$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.2943058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c611.19$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.861752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2883938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3186070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under46c588.97$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.054557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over54c540.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7221650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under46c525.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.978453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under46c525.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.975450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2656167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2655867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under47c491.05$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.345269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under49c485.57$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4810451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under47c484.1$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under47c477.1$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.582268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6517058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under47c473.99$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.214748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under73c459.1$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.611172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3b…b190backed Over21c453.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2650%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under46c452.81$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.015754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over56c434.64$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.430%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.88360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.87358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c384.42$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2518125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c376.92$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5139354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under47c370$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.16861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over46c362.81$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.311127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Over31c340.15$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over53c334.28$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4613447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over52c323.7$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3311349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Over49c321.84$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under49c320.02$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.