Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3625ad74dab90d76ec235df158bac0aa64ffed655cc569a895bef87625a6522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 7c | 6,674$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.47 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 4,207$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.82 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 1,509$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 13c | 750$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 33c | 540.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 15c | 479.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 212.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4108backed Under | 77c | 167.78$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 12c | 149.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 31c | 93.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 14c | 87.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Under | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c4…2853backed Under | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 65.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…f719backed Under | 69c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.