TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9eb…aee9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.42
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.5
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$122.82
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Portsmouth FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69
Spread: Coventry City FC (-2.5)backed Sheffield Wednesday FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.1
Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$204
Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$125.67
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
All 25 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.49
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$62.99
Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)backed CA Central Córdoba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.5
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.33
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$103.5
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
Will CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)backed CA Lanús · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.98
CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.49
CA Sarmiento vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$63
Will CA Sarmiento vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.5
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$162.8
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.88
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$195
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.51
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.16
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.54
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.76
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed Hamburger SV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.29
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC St. Pauli 1910 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.56
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick55cpaid+54.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.