TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under39c10,712$4,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,534.4618352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c5,662$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.745,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c2,440$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.461,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over61c2,401$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.910846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…7b16backed Over23c1,986$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.214337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over28c1,778$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.8319135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over59c1,666$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.018057.5%46 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over33c1,453$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.412839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over34c1,252$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.531,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over31c999.86$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.962321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over16c871.8$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.75113.7%7 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c862.54$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.988,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over61c829.82$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.963,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under29c768.74$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.6410657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over61c727.76$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9365058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e1…1575backed Over64c584.89$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over57c507.64$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.365952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c507.21$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6172350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under66c471.3$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.243574.3%26 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over44c454.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.931526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c414.72$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.082,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over61c274.12$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under12c262.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.158444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c251.86$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.881,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under40c241$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.631745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over30c238.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.394062.5%25 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over61c233.23$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2736757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over61c231.25$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0647758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over61c230.44$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5757157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under56c208.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.82254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.956657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.068556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked Over6c186.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Over63c149.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.492343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over34c149.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9448922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4c…dd9abacked Under66c149.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+70.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under67c148.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2819955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c139.46$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.433,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over30c126.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3416656%93 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over40c119.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.571844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Over63c116.4$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.343135.5%11 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over32c113.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.478339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under77c105.39$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2741256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over61c103.13$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9116653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb361…c953backed Over40c96.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.411361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Over61c84.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.953033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over61c80.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8344959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Over61c80.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.835660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over61c80.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8338861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fae…3e26backed Over37c79.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.261323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over30c79.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.03333%1 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick19cpaid-91.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Over62c78.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.864959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over61c78.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4815956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over53c73.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.872657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bc…54f5backed Over58c67.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over44c65.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over61c64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.042,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over23c63.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.313441%55 W · 79 L-14.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over61c60.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7918859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over61c58.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7534155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…7673backed Over62c55.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over61c51.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.347756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over61c51.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1511856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Under68c43.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.854351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under56c42.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.87867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over46c42.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6433658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x300d…978fbacked Under67c40.12$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over61c40.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4244939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over50c39.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over61c39.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8315457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Over63c38.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.456342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5835…6410backed Under76c38.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.414930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under50c37.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7529245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Over49c36.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9711262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd7f8…2e4cbacked Over61c36.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under68c36.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5411553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…6656backed Over57c35.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x541c…e66abacked Over41c34.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Under57c34.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under76c34.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2624654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Under76c32.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.797162%44 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Over61c32.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.534360.5%26 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over61c32.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.536159%36 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbba9…0e39backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under76c28.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.775865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under67c25.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.344465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over56c24.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.638528.2%24 W · 61 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over61c23.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over61c23.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3618154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under67c22.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.514052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under73c22.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.952560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under72c21.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0919264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under50c21.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.623467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa517…33efbacked Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked Under65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.12166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over61c19.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-49.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.