South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93eead5388201f138b8696ef7d4f76ef81b1a594b5a3e4c108418eb178f7dc4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 5c | 3,717$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a37…5e50backed Over | 36c | 1,860$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 35c | 1,155$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.25 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 1,024$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…b5c4backed Over | 19c | 898.68$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked Over | 1c | 888.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 36c | 491.48$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 76c | 453.92$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…3e26backed Over | 31c | 432.92$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 64c | 404.34$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.56 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 70c | 401.08$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 343.77$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 31c | 317.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 230.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 9c | 157.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 19cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed Over | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 10c | 137.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 65c | 112.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 78c | 101.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 99.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 30c | 95.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 59.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 34c | 59.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 36c | 53.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Over | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 74c | 37.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 78c | 22.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 65c | 21.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…844cbacked Under | 66c | 18.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)CA Lanús won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)CA Banfield won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)CA Banfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.