South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b8c1b6765bb71005e21971d83966f953a10b9517a7b4a0354f3f56fe10c48bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Banfieldof CA Lanús, CA Banfield
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd10c…0645backed CA Lanús | 24c | 4,042$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Banfield | 77c | 2,860$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.12 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed CA Lanús | 20c | 1,097$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.01 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Banfield | 77c | 1,048$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed CA Lanús | 19c | 904.53$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.24 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed CA Banfield | 75c | 496.28$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CA Lanús | 8c | 312$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed CA Lanús | 14c | 299.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CA Lanús | 12c | 299.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked CA Lanús | 26c | 180.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed CA Lanús | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CA Banfield | 76c | 146$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CA Banfield | 79c | 123.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed CA Banfield | 79c | 61.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CA Banfield | 79c | 58.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked CA Banfield | 79c | 47.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked CA Banfield | 79c | 30.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…6410backed CA Banfield | 80c | 27.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked CA Banfield | 79c | 21.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked CA Banfield | 79c | 20.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked CA Banfield | 79c | 19.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…0e39backed CA Banfield | 79c | 13.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)this page
- CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)CA Lanús won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)CA Banfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.