Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fa14289d77fe693e12e46d9f57bb90051c22503a02164fd548e88542542a036
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over | 46c | 20,748$9,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,538.91 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 3,008$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.34 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…f72abacked Under | 55c | 2,548$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 54c | 1,750$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 1,208$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.67 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 55c | 1,144$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.77 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 45c | 1,046$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.52 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 859.64$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.07 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 45c | 857.76$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 601.76$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 441.48$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 47c | 393.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 243$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 54c | 227.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 193.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 180.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 55c | 159.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 58c | 152$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 42c | 152$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 123.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 122.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1068…84e1backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 78.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked Under | 51c | 36.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2939…fe88backed Under | 55c | 26.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 55c | 26.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 55c | 26.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…4056backed Over | 47c | 23.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked Under | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.