Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x696cb10ff332d6776ec60eacb25250c6218ee150691cf483a310bebed1cf1b0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Under | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 658.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 203$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 71c | 185$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 27c | 163.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 71c | 154.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 27c | 131.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 79c | 108$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 71c | 106.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 65c | 92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 28c | 75.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 28c | 75.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 28c | 75.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 28c | 75.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 28c | 74.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 28c | 74.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 27c | 65.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 27c | 54.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 27c | 54.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 71c | 51.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.