TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1068…84e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.51
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$266.45
Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$173.78
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$54.38
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$33.6
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$36.29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.48
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.05
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.02
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.69
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.17
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.99
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.