Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23c4347914c813036a64a12288b4fdb229c872a9f3d2ffb8a0b8cd00311b8ca7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $63,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,691 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under	51c	22,013$11,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,214.43	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	50c	17,386$8,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,760.97	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	49c	10,848$5,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,478.62	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	49c	7,783$3,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,847	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under	49c	6,751$3,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,305	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	51c	5,825$2,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,864.46	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	54c	2,729$1,474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,255.34	157	57.3%90 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over	50c	2,511$1,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,254.27	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over	51c	845.1$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.1	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under	47c	743.38$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.39	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	49c	685.42$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	39c	532.79$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.18	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	49c	525.06$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.28	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	121	57%69 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	170	62.4%106 W · 64 L	+13.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under	46c	481.11$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.31	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	49c	450$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.5	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	119	69.7%83 W · 36 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6742…fdf7backed Under	48c	410.5$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	143	54.5%78 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	49c	375.01$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.63	696	51.1%356 W · 340 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	49c	372.96$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.59	808	53.6%433 W · 375 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	127	57.5%73 W · 54 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	48c	300$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	157	38.9%61 W · 96 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over	47c	299.98$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.99	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	49c	250$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.5	146	58.2%85 W · 61 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	49c	250$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.5	138	58.7%81 W · 57 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over	54c	250$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	157	72%113 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	53c	212.6$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.92	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	49c	210$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.9	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	11c	205.4$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.27	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	53c	189.81$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.6	740	56.9%421 W · 319 L	+46.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under	49c	150$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	114	57%65 W · 49 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over	53c	143.86$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.9	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	46c	125$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	46c	125$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	1,208	42.2%510 W · 698 L	-27.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	53c	122.1$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.39	1,923	42.4%815 W · 1,108 L	-42.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	109	71.6%78 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	144	63.9%92 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	47c	90$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.7	552	54.5%301 W · 251 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	49c	83.5$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.85	179	59.8%107 W · 72 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba97…716bbacked Over	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed Under	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.8wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+49.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	83	62.7%52 W · 31 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	88	58%51 W · 37 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed Under	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Under	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed Under	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked Under	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	51c	43.69$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.41	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f5d…20c8backed Over	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	52c	41.67$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	186	51.6%96 W · 90 L	+13.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4556…2b3cbacked Over	49c	40.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.61	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Under	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+5.8wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	50c	36.56$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	278	46.4%129 W · 149 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under	55c	29.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	129	68.2%88 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Under	51c	26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	101	12.9%13 W · 88 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under	52c	25.02$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.01	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	655	57.7%378 W · 277 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x455f…e5f9backed Under	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32d3…8712backed Under	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b7…2e25backed Under	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae0…af23backed Under	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b38…a23bbacked Over	51c	23.9$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf178…e750backed Under	49c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb617…db8abacked Over	51c	22.93$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.24	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e84…3130backed Over	51c	21.86$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbeb…1b63backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	296	44.6%132 W · 164 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event