Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc82b374994a5ea4399e33180823ca637c71824f93dbe6bcad89185bd73f65c04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 2,478$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 961.86$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.98 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 56c | 491.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.48 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 477$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 44c | 406.33$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.79 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…37f8backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 43c | 232.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 56c | 230.76$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf000…78c9backed No | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 41c | 169.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 69c | 147.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 57c | 87.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 46c | 61.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 45c | 46.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 54c | 33.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 44c | 33.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Yes | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 57c | 28.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Yes | 54c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.