Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0a65ba6cf29946b548f2ecafeb64706785d68622f177f9e2b588b5a5b2da62f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 2,608$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 72c | 940.32$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…56ddbacked Under | 29c | 791.37$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 72c | 690.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 41c | 600.08$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.28 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 80c | 410$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…fd44backed Over | 75c | 299.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Over | 27c | 236.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.89 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Over | 27c | 210$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Over | 27c | 133.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 40c | 116.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 28c | 111.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 28c | 111.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 28c | 105.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 40c | 81.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 71.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Under | 62c | 56.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190b…85aebacked Under | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 73c | 28.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.