TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,223 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes38c14,978$5,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,286.3119846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No63c14,032$8,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,793.37950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes24c6,394$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,859.87552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes58c5,918$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.295,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c4,743$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,942.212,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No62c3,909$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.4624855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No62c2,932$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.5913059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c2,300$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.33,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c1,732$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.121,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No62c1,710$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.2616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No62c1,466$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes38c1,000$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6252,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes38c959.96$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.181,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No62c929.34$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes24c775.45$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.347047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes38c700$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4344420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes37c654.3$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.2123057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes37c614.73$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.283151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes39c588$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.81,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x840e…b9edbacked Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No62c488.6$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9318358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No62c488.6$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9328851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No62c488.6$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9323056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No62c439.74$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No62c390.88$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3521358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c381.21$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.848,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa823…3327backed Yes40c365.93$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.565040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No11c362.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.93234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No60c346.62$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9784943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No64c305.75$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6810750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes35c299.17$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6814022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No65c298.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9265058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked No4c297.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.132528%7 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No62c293.16$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7616559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No62c293.16$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7615857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No72c244.82$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.451,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No62c244.3$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4721657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2015…0eaabacked Yes24c232.64$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed No8c226.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.671421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick10cpaid+91.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes38c210$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.372,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c205.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.113,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes74c202.73$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.059457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes53c181.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.231,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6866…b8f4backed Yes37c175.51$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes37c175$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked No13c161.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212231.8%7 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes24c159.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.89837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80aa…e8eabacked No7c153.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281625%4 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed No62c146.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.882343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No62c146.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8824257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No62c146.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8813465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes65c146.42$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3223254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes9c139.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.433033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes12c113.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.71850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed No17c104.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.711915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes37c103.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.981,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No64c101.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No65c100.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1815956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No60c97.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5651654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a4…5bc2backed Yes19c95.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.067100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+112.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes38c94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.289854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No65c92.91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6657157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cfc…7f6bbacked No15c90.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes36c90.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4411856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No78c88.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.087957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No63c88.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.648045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes66c78.92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0310875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes24c72.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9513739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes36c68.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.575554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Yes38c66.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.123773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Yes39c62.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.973669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Yes19c60.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.757254.2%39 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes25c54.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9913023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7c…8ab4backed Yes24c52.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.081118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes37c49.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6441256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed No62c48.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes40c48.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9210943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No64c44.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64425%11 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No77c38.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0429362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No63c37.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4911863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes36c36.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3147756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes55c35.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.851,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No62c31.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.747745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes65c30.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5738861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.97950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No62c29.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4416653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes37c27.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No62c24.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No62c24.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes73c23.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3428158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No62c19.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1217960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No62c19.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1213557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed No65c15.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.114045%18 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No72c14.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.