South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce7e21709fe2bc70c3da0d95b2d6db4dba1e210555753671d95e0ad298839762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 2,672$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 1,438$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.88 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 79c | 1,072$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.02 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 12c | 656.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Yes | 10c | 516.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 12c | 509$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…8189backed No | 78c | 506.05$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 485.14$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 11c | 453.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 15c | 443.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Yes | 22c | 435.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 11c | 359.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 351.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 15c | 206.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 15c | 198.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 15c | 184.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 18c | 183.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes | 14c | 181.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 17c | 173.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 15c | 172.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 14c | 172.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 16c | 158.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 155$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 18c | 150.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 15c | 147.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 15c | 147.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 145.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked No | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 116.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 106.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…3a62backed Yes | 60c | 105.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 78c | 99.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 77c | 86.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Yes | 18c | 73.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 69.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 40c | 69.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 54c | 59.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 32c | 59.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 52c | 57.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 22c | 51.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 64c | 50.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 28c | 40.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 29c | 39.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 63c | 35.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 34c | 33.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked No | 36c | 30.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed No | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 72c | 25.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 68c | 23.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Unión end in a draw?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.