South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Unión end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x063a7d16bff7336547f89923580d7308a63ba0b50f7cd679a961e0c315fb8a52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7549…9745backed Yes | 0c | 7,932$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 49c | 2,539$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.58 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 36c | 2,412$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.32 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 2,226$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.25 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 1,473$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.97 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 1,022$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.31 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 857.27$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.77 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 26c | 739.16$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed Yes | 80c | 617.5$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 65c | 388.93$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 373.13$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 21c | 357.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.56 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 80c | 349.05$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.98 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 344.9$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed Yes | 73c | 296.49$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 290$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…8189backed Yes | 69c | 284.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…0eaabacked Yes | 26c | 220.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 202.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.67 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 192.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 136.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 78c | 135.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 131$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 23c | 130.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 128.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…2a0abacked Yes | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 65c | 112.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 109.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked No | 19c | 106.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 100.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 37c | 96.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 80c | 86.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 78c | 85.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 79c | 83.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 79c | 82.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 30c | 81.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 70c | 78.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 247 | 66%163 W · 84 L | +27.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…9abebacked No | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Yes | 80c | 64.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 80c | 59.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 80c | 59.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 63c | 55.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 80c | 54.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 80c | 54.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…8ab4backed Yes | 26c | 50.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 39c | 49.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 63c | 45.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 63c | 45.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 42c | 42.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 80c | 40.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 65c | 38.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 28c | 37.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 32.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 38c | 30.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…a904backed No | 65c | 26.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 64c | 25.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 62c | 19.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 62c | 18.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 79c | 14.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Unión end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.