Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45b69abf29120bc3b3878e89123aa29ff28e920bf6e5de98b6ce1f7f7785c8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, FC St. Pauli 1910
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 34,684$16,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,395.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 11,244$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 8,317$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,408.02 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 49c | 7,754$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.41 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 6,870$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.49 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 54c | 4,725$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.81 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 4,181$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 51c | 3,154$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.77 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 2,783$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.99 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 1,775$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.55 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 1,744$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.95 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 52c | 1,570$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.09 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.68 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 1,097$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.52 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 1,042$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.54 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked FC Bayern München | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 49c | 999.97$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 52c | 986.26$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 35c | 961$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.35 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 835.86$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.16 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 719.19$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 56c | 645.29$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.93 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 611.85$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked FC Bayern München | 50c | 586.91$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 33c | 575.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 50c | 510.73$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.37 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 509.13$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.23 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 54c | 485.32$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.18 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 373.39$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 33c | 359.93$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 342.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed FC Bayern München | 54c | 307.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 290.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 51c | 280.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.05 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 55c | 246.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 55c | 246.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 55c | 246.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 55c | 246.86$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.81 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 49c | 243.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 241.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 52c | 228$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 212.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 205.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…1b83backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked FC Bayern München | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1068…84e1backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 56c | 199.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 189.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 43c | 185.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 178.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 41c | 160.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 54c | 155.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 147.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 144.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed FC Bayern München | 55c | 136.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 130.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 49c | 128.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 45c | 119.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 51c | 110.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 109.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked FC Bayern München | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…24a0backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 101.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 98.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 51c | 95.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…cd26backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 91.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 85.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…ad22backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 80.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 79.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 44c | 72.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 67.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 65.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.