Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2590f0a80375a41954b7ef4987dd4a0d77d787f7795104a02aa6c040c45835ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 68c | 14,489$9,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,682.83 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 8,061$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.3 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 64c | 6,680$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.61 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over | 67c | 4,377$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 33c | 4,103$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.31 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 4,078$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.91 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.04 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Over | 64c | 2,602$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 2,543$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.73 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 32c | 2,418$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.85 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 2,155$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 36c | 2,151$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.08 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 32c | 2,031$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 32c | 2,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 66c | 1,985$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 28c | 1,808$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.67 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 34c | 1,585$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.84 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 67c | 1,464$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.61 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 37c | 1,406$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.72 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 33c | 1,224$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.11 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 36c | 1,054$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 70c | 968.03$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.41 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 34c | 960.75$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.89 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 950$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 55c | 898.43$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.76 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 33c | 837.63$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.32 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over | 60c | 805.2$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 55c | 802.67$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.41 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 69c | 782.28$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.51 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 33c | 781$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 33c | 780.23$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.58 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 66c | 768.83$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.44 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 33c | 756.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 57c | 733.6$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.46 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 66c | 664.87$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Over | 65c | 615.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 69c | 581.46$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 40c | 477.86$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 65c | 451.85$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.15 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 436.03$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 36c | 403.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 36c | 403.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 62c | 403.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 77c | 385.24$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 65c | 377.1$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 36c | 355.79$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.09 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 36c | 338.48$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 335.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 302.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Over | 70c | 294.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 285.77$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 36c | 280$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 31c | 258.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 228.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Under | 31c | 197.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 70c | 196.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 65c | 192.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 35c | 161.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 32c | 152.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 35c | 152.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aed…6e05backed Over | 65c | 150.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 150.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 32c | 148.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 32c | 148.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…acc5backed Over | 66c | 148.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 31c | 148$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 33c | 147.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 36c | 136.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Under | 27c | 133.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 64c | 133.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 37c | 130.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 38c | 114.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 109.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 41c | 105.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Over | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 69c | 90.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5578…f06cbacked Over | 65c | 84.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 36c | 82.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 36c | 82.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Under | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 34c | 65.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.