Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7efebbe1d85119c7ff59472abb2b7fd9426c92aebdd1d15d4c86c39c80651893
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed No | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 2,054$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 1,268$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.4 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 46c | 1,241$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…4039backed No | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 863.42$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.87 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 54c | 851.27$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.28 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 42c | 571.71$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.16 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…5bd3backed No | 42c | 566.16$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 53c | 544.68$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.68 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed No | 44c | 440.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 44c | 323.1$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 313.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.66 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 57c | 306.63$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 54c | 283.75$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 54c | 283.75$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 54c | 276.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 54c | 276.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 54c | 276.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 54c | 268.57$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 54c | 267.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 54c | 267.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 54c | 267.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 54c | 267.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed No | 46c | 260.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 46c | 216.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 208.34$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 52c | 199.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 52c | 195.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Yes | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 26c | 176.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 61c | 154.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 58c | 152.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 142.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 136.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed No | 45c | 126.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 57c | 125.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 43c | 89.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed No | 64c | 76.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 77c | 71.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Yes | 19c | 68.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Yes | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 67.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 56c | 58.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…03bbbacked Yes | 57c | 52.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…3e84backed Yes | 58c | 50.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Yes | 62c | 43.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…35bbbacked Yes | 54c | 43.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed No | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1c…ddeebacked No | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…e8e3backed No | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 47c | 37.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…7ba3backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…4f66backed No | 48c | 34.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 54c | 33.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked No | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed No | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked No | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 48c | 25.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Yes | 55c | 21.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 53c | 21.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed No | 76c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Yes | 57c | 17.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.