Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d526fd94ad601d7ec1886ea4a23d5cc8ed7fc2c7731c9973632861d1de91e9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 44c | 26,490$11,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,856.06 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 19,957$8,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,175.85 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…10dabacked Over | 47c | 10,084$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 9,767$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.23 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 53c | 9,495$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 5,924$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.55 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 56c | 5,918$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.28 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 45c | 5,848$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.19 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 56c | 5,211$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.3 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.75 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 56c | 4,336$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.04 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 56c | 3,408$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.26 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 55c | 2,545$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.76 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 55c | 2,266$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 34c | 2,128$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.98 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.98 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 77c | 1,877$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.77 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 1,778$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.65 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 1,499$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.81 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 1,400$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 37c | 1,373$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.34 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 56c | 1,082$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.73 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 56c | 1,056$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.12 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 74c | 999.91$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.22 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.22 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.22 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over | 45c | 971.3$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…616dbacked Under | 58c | 957.99$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 55c | 952.44$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.84 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 56c | 868.08$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.82 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 56c | 868.08$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.82 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 44c | 838.53$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.9 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 25c | 815.89$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.97 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 56c | 778.88$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.17 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 31c | 759.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.53 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 37c | 699.54$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.98 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 56c | 584.16$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.13 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 56c | 584.16$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.13 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 511.76$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.82 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 497.9$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.82 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 57c | 463$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 439.66$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 45c | 437.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.71 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Over | 45c | 421.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 416$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.98 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 56c | 408.91$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 56c | 408.91$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 77c | 384.23$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 56c | 360.23$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 42c | 344.71$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Under | 62c | 316.94$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 44c | 314.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 77c | 305.22$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 44c | 300$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 56c | 297.61$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed Under | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 27c | 289.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 222.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 211.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 47c | 205.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 63c | 204.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 77c | 192.12$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 56c | 184.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 77c | 172.91$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked Over | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 75c | 151.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 56c | 149.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 46c | 147.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 132.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 47c | 129.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 55c | 129.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 46c | 124.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 55c | 105.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 56c | 94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 53c | 92.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Under | 57c | 91.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 86.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…03bbbacked Over | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 41c | 82.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.