Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfd35c24c75f04a19497eddc4321ab9f1acff1e75b64ef071a06eac9ece121c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $791,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $708,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 49c | 201,352$99,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,097.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 51c | 112,914$57,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,717.93 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 50c | 94,489$47,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,244.49 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 58,834$29,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,574.14 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 43,145$8,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,813.67 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 51c | 39,701$20,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,372.35 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 28,680$13,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,956.98 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 44c | 21,374$9,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,406.22 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 52c | 19,424$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100.48 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under | 50c | 17,947$8,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,973.53 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 50c | 17,358$8,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,602.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 52c | 16,259$8,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,454.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 51c | 13,965$7,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,120.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 10,130$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.23 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 2c | 10,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 9,895$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.86 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Under | 40c | 9,409$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.48 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 1c | 8,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Over | 51c | 7,635$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 50c | 6,393$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.65 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 6,239$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.78 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 1c | 5,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +300%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 51c | 4,794$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.76 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 52c | 4,680$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 4,669$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.36 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 50c | 4,566$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.73 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…9745backed Under | 0c | 4,563$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 4,500$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.01 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 51c | 4,474$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.9 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Under | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Under | 50c | 3,684$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.77 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 51c | 3,680$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.89 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 1c | 3,523$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 1c | 3,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Under | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.81 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 27c | 2,768$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 37c | 2,644$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.75 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 2,560$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.26 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 2,526$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.73 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 2,522$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 51c | 2,474$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 2,438$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.23 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…9ce6backed Under | 3c | 2,384$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 2,224$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.06 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 1,975$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.21 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Under | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Under | 50c | 1,907$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.26 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 51c | 1,705$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 51c | 1,629$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.41 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 39c | 1,628$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.79 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over | 46c | 1,576$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.94 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Under | 49c | 1,551$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.79 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 51c | 1,492$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.16 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 51c | 1,413$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.52 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,321$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 1,315$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 51c | 1,304$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.84 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 49c | 1,304$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.69 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…e54dbacked Under | 50c | 1,298$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,211$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.92 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 47c | 1,137$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 1,077$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.36 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 51c | 1,076$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.84 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 51c | 974.88$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.49 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 49c | 953.12$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.89 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 952.29$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.1 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 52c | 938.94$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.51 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 52c | 936.53$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.55 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 52c | 935.17$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.57 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 6c | 898.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 51c | 801.9$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.61 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 740.44$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.51 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 51c | 691.74$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 688$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Under | 49c | 678.58$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 49c | 652.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.