Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf017db96f9ea222c279e7f52a82a51e4c83143fdbe851ae940f50d7ab23ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 67c | 12,086$8,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.72 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 63c | 11,630$7,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.66 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 6,844$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.82 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Over | 66c | 5,147$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 4,612$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 33c | 2,703$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.69 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Under | 39c | 2,457$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 61c | 2,285$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.26 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Under | 34c | 1,345$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 33c | 1,300$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 1,295$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.18 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 73c | 1,283$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 30c | 1,272$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.72 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 29c | 962.82$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.63 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 33c | 627.05$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.66 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 34c | 505.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 33c | 500.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 33c | 490.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 33c | 484.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 33c | 457.93$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 27c | 448.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 34c | 432.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 33c | 416.05$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Under | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 33c | 371.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 33c | 353.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 33c | 353.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 33c | 324.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 33c | 295.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 33c | 289.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 33c | 288.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 33c | 287.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 33c | 285.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 34c | 284.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 34c | 282.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 33c | 279.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 33c | 276.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 27c | 276.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 271.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 33c | 266.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 27c | 254.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 229.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 224.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 208.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 33c | 203.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 72c | 196.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Over | 71c | 196.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 192.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fb…e34ebacked Over | 73c | 188.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 67c | 177.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 9c | 176.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 32c | 172.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 33c | 162.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 31c | 152$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 33c | 146.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 33c | 145.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…91a6backed Under | 34c | 144.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Under | 33c | 143.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 34c | 141.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 33c | 135.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…18d6backed Over | 73c | 134.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 27c | 122.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 67c | 82.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 67c | 82.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 34c | 81.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 33c | 76.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 33c | 72.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 33c | 72.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 72c | 68.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 26c | 66.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 33c | 61.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba0…980fbacked Over | 67c | 54.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 71c | 49.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 35c | 48.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 33c | 46.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…bf73backed Under | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 33c | 40.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 76c | 40.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 68c | 39.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 34c | 38.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 31c | 33.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 33c | 32.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…76e9backed Over | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.