Bundesliga · resolved market

Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3ae4b4fccd1f6842c00cabe63a4a0626189a4558f26bae67c1329a77246fd98

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: VfB Stuttgartof VfB Stuttgart, Hamburger SV
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $193,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $196,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,421 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked VfB Stuttgart	55c	100,983$55,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,606.71	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Hamburger SV	45c	67,690$30,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,460.5	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked VfB Stuttgart	51c	36,554$18,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,002.55	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed VfB Stuttgart	45c	13,682$6,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,524.9	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hamburger SV	46c	13,063$5,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,979.94	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Hamburger SV	49c	8,000$3,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,920	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Hamburger SV	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hamburger SV	47c	5,963$2,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,792.15	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed VfB Stuttgart	46c	4,977$2,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,687.6	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Hamburger SV	50c	4,444$2,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,222	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hamburger SV	46c	4,264$1,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,951.6	208	45.7%95 W · 113 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Hamburger SV	50c	3,500$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Hamburger SV	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Hamburger SV	46c	3,000$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,379.98	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hamburger SV	49c	2,954$1,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,443.22	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Hamburger SV	49c	2,953$1,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,443.22	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed VfB Stuttgart	66c	2,654$1,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.13	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed VfB Stuttgart	53c	2,526$1,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,187.23	79	67.1%53 W · 26 L	+7.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hamburger SV	49c	2,325$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,145.98	213	55.4%118 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed VfB Stuttgart	45c	2,000$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.91	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Hamburger SV	50c	1,894$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.12	177	49.7%88 W · 89 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Hamburger SV	51c	1,796$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.69	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Hamburger SV	47c	1,535$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.76	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-7.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x63da…d5cebacked Hamburger SV	45c	1,451$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hamburger SV	46c	1,384$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.57	64	65.6%42 W · 22 L	+8.0wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Hamburger SV	50c	1,382$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.57	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Hamburger SV	46c	1,074$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.06	146	52.7%77 W · 69 L	+11.2wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Hamburger SV	46c	1,056$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.73	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Hamburger SV	45c	1,031$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Hamburger SV	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Hamburger SV	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Hamburger SV	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hamburger SV	55c	928.79$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.11	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Hamburger SV	55c	928.79$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.11	111	48.6%54 W · 57 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Hamburger SV	55c	928.79$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.11	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Hamburger SV	53c	916.47$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.86	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Hamburger SV	49c	900$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Hamburger SV	55c	890.57$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.39	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hamburger SV	55c	887.01$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.13	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hamburger SV	7c	886.75$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.64	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed VfB Stuttgart	54c	862.48$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.74	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hamburger SV	12c	827.05$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.21	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Hamburger SV	49c	800$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed VfB Stuttgart	56c	771.93$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.65	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f49…104dbacked Hamburger SV	45c	683.05$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Hamburger SV	50c	681.82$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.36	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Hamburger SV	46c	630.1$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.29	67	68.7%46 W · 21 L	+6.2wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed VfB Stuttgart	54c	600$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Hamburger SV	49c	600$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Hamburger SV	49c	600$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Hamburger SV	46c	596.7$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.51	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Hamburger SV	45c	574.03$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.7	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+5.5wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Hamburger SV	55c	565.2$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.76	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Hamburger SV	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Hamburger SV	49c	484.7$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hamburger SV	48c	475.09$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.63	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe006…25a1backed Hamburger SV	55c	460.41$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked VfB Stuttgart	55c	460$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Hamburger SV	55c	442.45$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.15	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Hamburger SV	46c	420.67$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.51	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Hamburger SV	49c	404.36$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.14	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Hamburger SV	47c	403.46$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.68	140	55%77 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Hamburger SV	49c	370$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.3	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f3…18d6backed VfB Stuttgart	53c	366.83$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.48	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+73.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Hamburger SV	55c	353.82$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	46cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Hamburger SV	55c	344.44$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.38	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Hamburger SV	47c	337.1$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.44	420	46.4%195 W · 225 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Hamburger SV	55c	331.93$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.56	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed VfB Stuttgart	53c	330.67$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.84	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.34per pick	37cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Hamburger SV	50c	320.31$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.54	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Hamburger SV	51c	304.5$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.3	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Hamburger SV	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Hamburger SV	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Hamburger SV	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Hamburger SV	49c	294.87$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.34	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hamburger SV	50c	288.79$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.37	817	32.8%268 W · 549 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed VfB Stuttgart	54c	287$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.36	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Hamburger SV	54c	249.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.99	481	46.4%223 W · 258 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Hamburger SV	53c	249.82$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.5	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed VfB Stuttgart	52c	238.2$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.33	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+101%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked VfB Stuttgart	46c	216.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.18	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Hamburger SV	46c	212.87$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.92	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked VfB Stuttgart	46c	199.21$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.57	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked VfB Stuttgart	54c	198.08$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.12	83	63.9%53 W · 30 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Hamburger SV	51c	195.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked VfB Stuttgart	54c	180.07$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.83	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Hamburger SV	50c	180$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.05	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Hamburger SV	50c	178.48$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.24	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Hamburger SV	55c	176.89$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.29	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Hamburger SV	55c	176.89$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.29	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Hamburger SV	55c	176.89$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.29	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Hamburger SV	55c	176.89$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.29	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hamburger SV	55c	176.89$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.29	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Hamburger SV	51c	148.65$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.76	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-6.2wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0da…b072backed Hamburger SV	55c	145.45$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Hamburger SV	55c	145.3$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.27	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-72%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Hamburger SV	55c	141.47$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.81	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Hamburger SV	45c	141.4$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.63	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Hamburger SV	50c	136.38$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.89	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Hamburger SV	55c	133.14$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.23	49	71.4%35 W · 14 L	+7.3wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)this page
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5Over won
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Over won
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event